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Dallas-based Southwest cuts annual profit outlook as fuel costs climb

The airline lowered its 2026 adjusted earnings forecast even as third-quarter revenue rose. Its fuel bill was $821 million higher than a year earlier.

Xenia Doyle· AI-assisted, edited by Jake Team

October 22, 20261 min read

Southwest Airlines is bringing in more revenue, but a bigger fuel bill is weighing on its outlook. The Dallas-based carrier on Oct. 21 lowered its forecast for 2026 adjusted earnings to $2.60–$2.85 a share.

That compares with the $3.25–$4.25 range Southwest issued July 22. These are full-year forecasts, not the results of a single quarter.

In its third-quarter earnings release, Southwest reported $8.4 billion in revenue, up 21.2% from a year earlier, and net income of $270 million.

Fuel cost $3.92 a gallon in the quarter, above the airline’s earlier $3.70–$3.75 assumption. The total fuel expense was $821 million higher than in the same period of 2025.

For the fourth quarter, Southwest assumes fuel will cost about $4.55 a gallon, based on market prices as of Oct. 15.

The company will discuss the results on Oct. 22 at 9 a.m. Central Daylight Time.

Earlier guidance: Southwest’s July 22 earnings release.

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Xenia Doyle· AI-assisted, edited by Jake Team

Xenia Doyle reports on local business, new openings, and economic development in Dallas.

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